Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: 2000 Census 5fa estimates (births last year/women) for the municipality of Borá (circles), for all of Brazil (dark line), and for a set of 34 municipalities around Borá (grey line). Source: IBGE (2000) and authors’ calculations.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Census versus Empirical Bayes (EB) estimates for 5506 Brazilian municipalities in 2000. Each point corresponds to a municipality, with three example locations from the text highlighted. Total fertility in left-hand panel; parity at ages 45–49 in right-hand panel. Census and EB estimates are equal along the diagonal lines. Source: As in Figure 1.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: 2000 Census data for five-year age groups i =1…7, Cajapió. Source : IBGE (2000) and authors’ calculations.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Brass P/F regression adjustment for three example municipalities. Vertical positions of C, E, and the regression intercept at year 2000 represent TFRCens (Census estimate), TFREB (Empirical Bayes), and the modified Brass estimate for TFR, respectively. Points are labelled by the youngest age in a five-year age group. See text for details. Source: As in Figure 1.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques: Modification

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Census and Empirical Bayes plus Brass (EBB) estimates of municipal total fertility, 2000. State boundaries in black. MADN = mean absolute difference between neighbours, averaged over 16419 unique pairs of adjacent municipalities. Moran’s I measures correlation between values in adjacent municipalities (Cliff and Ord 1981, p. 17). Source: As in Figure 1.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Census and EBB estimates of 2000 total fertility, by size of municipality. Left panels contain the 500 municipalities with the smallest census sample sizes; right panels contain the 500 largest samples; middle panels contain the remaining 4506 municipalities. Scatter plots in the top panels show pairs of alternative estimates, with one point per municipality. Densities in the lower panels illustrate differences between the marginal distributions of Census and EBB estimates within each size class. Note that horizontal scales in the top and bottom panels differ. Source: As in Figure 1.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Distribution of municipal TFR estimates for alternative methods across 5506 Brazilian municipalities, 2000. Source : IBGE (2000) , authors’ calculations, UNDP (2003) .

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques:

Journal: Population studies

Article Title: Bayes plus Brass: Estimating Total Fertility for Many Small Areas from Sparse Census Data

doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.795602

Figure Lengend Snippet: Alternative estimation methods for municipal fertility, aggregated to state level using population weights, Brazil 2000. Methods are direct estimates from Census (bars), Empirical Bayes spatial smoothing (dashed line with x), Empirical Bayes plus Brass regression correction (solid line), UN Development Programme (UNDP 2003 – dashed line). Population-weighted rates of TFR change, estimated from regressions and written as percentages, appear at the base of each state’s column. States are sorted in descending order of Census TFR estimates. State abbreviations at http://tinyurl.com/br-states. Source: As in Figure 1.

Article Snippet: The 2000 Census microdata have person-level weights to account for the two different sampling fractions, and for non-response.

Techniques: